Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Tampa Bay Lightning take the road against the Florida Panthers for Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Saturday, April 26, starting at 1 p.m. ET on TBS. The Panthers have a 2-0 edge in the series. The Lightning are underdogs (+114) against the Panthers (-136).
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Prepare for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a glimpse at who we project to emerge with the victory.
Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday
Our computer model for this contest calls for a final tally of Panthers 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-136)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers (47-31-4 overall) have a 10-4-14 record in games that have gone to overtime.
- In the 21 games Florida has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 11-6-4 record (good for 26 points).
- In the 16 games this season the Panthers recorded only one goal, they went 3-13-0 (six points).
- Florida has finished 6-7-2 in the 15 games this season when it scored two goals (registering 14 points).
- The Panthers have scored at least three goals in 48 games (40-6-2, 82 points).
- In the 37 games when Florida has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 24-9-4 record (52 points).
- When it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 32-20-3 (67 points).
- The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 21 games. The Panthers went 11-9-1 in those contests (23 points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a 47-27-8 record this season and are 6-8-14 in matchups that have required overtime.
- Tampa Bay has earned 21 points (8-9-5) in its 22 games decided by one goal.
- This season the Lightning scored just one goal in nine games and they finished 0-8-1 in those matchups.
- When Tampa Bay has scored two goals this season, they've earned seven points (2-10-3 record).
- The Lightning have scored at least three goals 56 times, earning 94 points from those matchups (45-7-4).
- This season, Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal in 32 games and picked up 45 points with a record of 22-9-1.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Tampa Bay has posted a record of 25-18-0 (50 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 37 games, going 21-8-8 to register 50 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Panthers Rank | Panthers AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15th | 3.00 | Goals Scored | 3.56 | 1st |
| 7th | 2.72 | Goals Allowed | 2.63 | 4th |
| 3rd | 31.5 | Shots | 28.5 | 12th |
| 5th | 26.2 | Shots Allowed | 28.1 | 14th |
| 11th | 23.83% | Power Play % | 25.86% | 5th |
| 10th | 80.42% | Penalty Kill % | 81.55% | 6th |
Panthers vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: TBS
- Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida
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