Cavaliers vs. Heat Game 4 Predictions, Odds & Stats – April 28

Atlanta Hawks v Cleveland Cavaliers

Photo: Jason Miller / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Cleveland Cavaliers bring a 3-0 series lead into a decisive Game 4 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Cavaliers are favored by 8.5 points in the matchup, which will be broadcast on at 7:30 p.m. ET.

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Cavaliers vs. Heat Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final tally of Cavaliers 118, Heat 109.

  • Moneyline Pick: Cavaliers (-383)
  • Total Pick: Over 209.5 (computer predicts 227.3 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+8.5)

Recent Cavaliers vs. Heat Matchups

Cavaliers vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/26/2025 Cavaliers -5.5 213 -219 +182 124-87 CLE
4/23/2025 Cavaliers -12.5 213 -676 +484 121-112 CLE
4/20/2025 Cavaliers -12.5 215 -787 +543 121-100 CLE
3/5/2025 Cavaliers -13.5 220 -893 +592 112-107 CLE
1/29/2025 Cavaliers -6 223.5 -233 +192 126-106 CLE
12/8/2024 Cavaliers -2.5 223.5 -139 +117 122-113 MIA
3/24/2024 Heat -3.5 202.5 -165 +138 121-84 MIA
3/20/2024 Cavaliers -2.5 206.5 -135 +114 107-104 MIA
12/8/2023 Cavaliers -1.5 223.5 -122 +103 111-99 CLE
11/22/2023 Cavaliers -1.5 213 -120 -101 129-96 MIA

Cavaliers 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Cleveland's ATS record is 48-33-1 this season.
  • In games this season they were favored by 8.5 points or more, the Cavaliers have a 22-21 record against the spread.
  • Cleveland has hit the over in 50 of its 82 games with a set total (61%).
  • The Cavaliers have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 60 (81.1%) of those contests.
  • This season, Cleveland has won 33 of its 38 games, or 86.8%, when favored by at least -383 on the moneyline.

Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Miami has a 38-41-3 record against the spread this year.
  • In games this year in which they were an underdog by 8.5 points or more, the Heat have a 4-1-1 record against the spread.
  • The teams have combined to hit the over in 44 of Miami's 82 games with a set total.
  • The Heat have been the moneyline underdog 36 total times this season. They've finished 10-26 in those games.
  • When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +301 or longer, Miami has gone 2-3 (40%).

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Cavaliers vs. Heat Injury Report

Cavaliers

Cavaliers:

Darius Garland: Questionable (Toe)

Heat

Heat:

Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles),

Terry Rozier: Out (Ankle),

Kevin Love: Out (Personal)

Cavaliers vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Monday, April 28, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel:
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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