Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, April 30 features the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Florida Panthers facing off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The Panthers are on top 3-1 in the series. Bookmakers give the Lightning -122 moneyline odds in this game against the Panthers (+102).
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Before this matchup, here is who we project to emerge victorious in Wednesday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.
Lightning vs. Panthers Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final result of Lightning 4, Panthers 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-122)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 47-27-8 overall and 6-8-14 in overtime matchups.
- Tampa Bay has 21 points (8-9-5) in the 22 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the nine games this season the Lightning registered just one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
- Tampa Bay has finished 2-11-3 in the 16 games this season when it scored two goals (registering seven points).
- The Lightning are 46-7-4 in the 57 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 96 points).
- In the 32 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 22-9-1 record (45 points).
- In the 43 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 25-18-0 (50 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 39 games, going 22-9-8 to register 52 points.
Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers have a record of 47-31-4 this season and are 10-4-14 in overtime matchups.
- Florida has earned 26 points (11-6-4) in its 21 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- In 17 games this season when the Panthers finished a game with only one goal, they earned a total of six points (3-14-0).
- Florida has earned 14 points (6-7-2 record) this season when scoring two goals .
- The Panthers have scored three or more goals in 49 games, earning 84 points from those contests.
- This season, Florida has recorded a single power-play goal in 37 games and picked up 52 points with a record of 24-9-4.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Florida is 33-21-3 (69 points).
- The Panthers have been outshot by opponents 21 times this season, and earned 23 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Panthers AVG | Panthers Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3.56 | Goals Scored | 3.00 | 15th |
| 4th | 2.63 | Goals Allowed | 2.72 | 7th |
| 12th | 28.5 | Shots | 31.5 | 3rd |
| 14th | 28.1 | Shots Allowed | 26.2 | 5th |
| 5th | 25.86% | Power Play % | 23.83% | 11th |
| 6th | 81.55% | Penalty Kill % | 80.42% | 10th |
Lightning vs. Panthers Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN2
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida
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