Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs Second Round Gam

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The Florida Panthers take the road to play the Toronto Maple Leafs for the first game of the NHL Playoffs Second Round on Monday, May 5, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Maple Leafs have +105 moneyline odds against the favorite Panthers (-125).

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Before watching this matchup, here's a peek at which team we predict will bring home the victory in Monday's NHL Playoffs Second Round action.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Panthers 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (+105)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers are 47-31-4 overall and 10-4-14 in overtime matchups.
  • Florida is 11-6-4 (26 points) in its 21 games decided by one goal.
  • In the 17 games this season the Panthers scored only one goal, they went 3-14-0 (six points).
  • Florida has taken 14 points from the 15 games this season when it scored two goals (6-7-2 record).
  • The Panthers have scored more than two goals in 50 games (42-6-2, 86 points).
  • In the 38 games when Florida has recorded a single power-play goal, it picked up 54 points after finishing 25-9-4.
  • In the 58 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 34-21-3 (71 points).
  • The Panthers have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 11-9-1 to register 23 points.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (52-26-4 overall) have posted a record of 13-5-18 in games that have required OT this season.
  • Toronto has earned 49 points (23-4-3) in its 30 games decided by one goal.
  • Across the 12 games this season the Maple Leafs finished with just one goal, they have earned three points.
  • Toronto has earned seven points (3-10-1 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 58 times, earning 107 points from those matchups (52-3-3).
  • This season, Toronto has recorded a single power-play goal in 33 games has a record of 24-8-1 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 18-13-2 (38 points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 49 games. The Maple Leafs finished 35-12-2 in those contests (72 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Panthers Rank Panthers AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
15th 3 Goals Scored 3.26 7th
7th 2.72 Goals Allowed 2.79 8th
3rd 31.5 Shots 28 18th
5th 26.2 Shots Allowed 29.3 25th
11th 23.83% Power Play % 24.77% 9th
10th 80.42% Penalty Kill % 77.87% 17th

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Monday, May 5, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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