Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs Second Round Gam

Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round showcases the Florida Panthers and the Toronto Maple Leafs meeting at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 11 on TBS. The Maple Leafs hold a 2-1 advantage in the series. The Maple Leafs have +168 moneyline odds against the favorite Panthers (-203).

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Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which team will secure the win in Sunday's NHL Playoffs Second Round action.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this contest calls for a final tally of Panthers 4, Maple Leafs 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-203)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

• The Panthers have a 47-31-4 record overall, with an 11-4-15 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
• In the 24 games Florida has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 12-8-4 record (good for 28 points).
• In the 17 games this season the Panthers recorded only one goal, they went 3-14-0 (six points).
• Florida has taken 14 points from the 15 games this season when it scored two goals (6-7-2 record).
• The Panthers are 43-8-2 in the 53 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 88 points).
• In the 40 games when Florida has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 25-11-4 record (54 points).
• In the 60 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 35-22-3 (73 points).
• The Panthers have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 11-9-1 to register 23 points.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have a record of 52-26-4 this season and are 13-6-19 in overtime games.
• Toronto has earned 54 points (25-4-4) in its 33 games decided by one goal.
• In 12 games this season when the Maple Leafs finished a game with just one goal, they earned a total of three points (1-10-1).
• Toronto has earned seven points (3-10-1 record) this season when scoring two goals .
• The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 61 times, earning 112 points from those matchups (54-3-4).
• This season, Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 35 games has a record of 25-8-2 in those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 18-13-2 (38 points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 51 games, going 36-12-3 to register 75 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TBS
• Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida

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