Oilers vs. Panthers Prediction & Picks - Stanley Cup Final Game 5

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The Edmonton Oilers and Florida Panthers square off in Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final on Saturday, June 14, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on TNT. The series is tied at 2-2. Bookmakers favor the Oilers in this matchup, giving them -125 moneyline odds against the Panthers (+105).

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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we expect to emerge victorious in Saturday's Stanley Cup Final action.

Oilers vs. Panthers Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this encounter predicts a final result of Oilers 4, Panthers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Oilers (-125)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Panthers (+1.5)

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Oilers Splits and Trends

  • The Oilers are 48-29-5 overall and 17-6-23 in overtime contests.
  • Edmonton has 61 points (28-13-5) in the 46 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the eight times this season the Oilers ended a game with just one goal, they have a 2-6-0 record, good for four points.
  • Edmonton has taken six points from the 13 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (2-9-2 record).
  • The Oilers have scored three or more goals in 75 games (58-13-4, 120 points).
  • In the 41 games when Edmonton has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it picked up 55 points after finishing 25-11-5.
  • When it has outshot opponents, Edmonton is 47-18-5 (99 points).
  • The Oilers have been outshot by opponents 26 times, and went 10-15-1 (21 points).

Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers have a 47-31-4 record this season and are 12-6-18 in games that have needed overtime.
  • In the 27 games Florida has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 32 points.
  • This season the Panthers recorded only one goal in 17 games and have gone 3-14-0 (six points).
  • When Florida has scored two goals this season, they've earned 16 points (7-7-2 record).
  • The Panthers have earned 106 points in their 63 games with at least three goals scored.
  • This season, Florida has scored a single power-play goal in 45 games has a record of 29-11-5 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Florida has posted a record of 39-23-4 (82 points).
  • The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 27 games. The Panthers finished 15-10-2 in those contests (32 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Oilers Rank Oilers AVG Panthers AVG Panthers Rank
11th 3.16 Goals Scored 3 15th
14th 2.87 Goals Allowed 2.72 7th
1st 32 Shots 31.5 3rd
8th 26.9 Shots Allowed 26.2 5th
12th 23.72% Power Play % 23.83% 11th
16th 78.16% Penalty Kill % 80.42% 10th

Oilers vs. Panthers Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, June 14, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

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