Heat vs. Warriors Predictions, Odds & Stats – Nov. 19

Miami Heat v Houston Rockets

Photo: Alex Slitz / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Miami Heat (8-6) are favored by 6.5 points against the Golden State Warriors (9-7) on Wednesday, November 19, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and NBCS-BA.

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Heat vs. Warriors Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final result of Heat 122, Warriors 116.

  • Moneyline Pick: Heat (-342)
  • Total Pick: Over 232.5 (computer predicts 238.0 points)
  • Pick ATS: Warriors (+6.5)

Recent Heat vs. Warriors Matchups

Heat vs Warriors (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
3/25/2025 Warriors -4.5 208.5 -189 +157 112-86 MIA
1/7/2025 Warriors -9.5 215.5 -439 +337 114-98 MIA

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Miami's ATS record is 9-4-1 this season.
  • When they have played as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, the Heat are 1-0 against the spread.
  • The teams have hit the over in nine of Miami's 16 games with a set total.
  • The Heat have won three of the four games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Miami has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -342.

Warriors 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • So far this season, Golden State has compiled a 9-7-0 record against the spread.
  • The Warriors are winless against the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs.
  • Golden State has gone over in 10 of its 16 games with a set total (62.5%).
  • The Warriors have a 3-3 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
  • Golden State has played as a moneyline underdog of +273 or longer in only one game this season, which it lost.

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Heat vs. Warriors Injury Report

Heat

Heat:

Bam Adebayo: Questionable (Foot),

Tyler Herro: Out (Ankle),

Nikola Jovic: Questionable (Hip)

Warriors

Warriors:

De'Anthony Melton: Out (Knee),

Jonathan Kuminga: Day-To-Day (Knee)

Heat vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN and NBCS-BA
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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