Photo: Ronald Martinez / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Miami Heat (14-7) are favored by 5 points against the Dallas Mavericks (7-15) on Wednesday, December 3, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV.
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Listen to the game on 97.1 The Eagle
Heat vs. Mavericks Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Heat 121, Mavericks 114.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-207)
- Total Pick: Under 240.5 (computer predicts 235.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-5)
Recent Heat vs. Mavericks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/24/2025 | Heat | -7.5 | 240.5 | -275 | +223 | 106-102 MIA |
| 2/13/2025 | Heat | -3 | 216.5 | -153 | +129 | 118-113 DAL |
| 11/24/2024 | Heat | -2.5 | 221.5 | -145 | +121 | 123-118 MIA |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami has gone 13-7-1 ATS this season.
- The Heat have a 4-3 record against the spread in games they were favored by 5 points or more this season.
- A total of 12 of Miami's 22 games with a set total have hit the over (54.5%).
- The Heat have been favorites in nine games this season and won seven (77.8%) of those contests.
- Miami has been at least a -207 moneyline favorite five times this season and won all of those games.
Mavericks 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Dallas has an 11-11-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Mavericks have a 7-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 5 points or more this year.
- Dallas' games have gone over the point total eight out of 22 times (36.4%).
- The Mavericks have won four of the 15 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (26.7%).
- Dallas has gone 2-7 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +172 or longer (22.2%).
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Heat vs. Mavericks Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Pelle Larsson: Day-To-Day (Foot),
Keshad Johnson: Day-To-Day (Head)
Mavericks
Mavericks:
Kyrie Irving: Out (Knee),
Dereck Lively II: Out (Foot),
Daniel Gafford: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
P.J. Washington: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Dante Exum: Out For Season (Knee)
Heat vs. Mavericks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV
- Location: Dallas, Texas
- Arena: American Airlines Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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