The Denver Nuggets (22-9) are favored by 2.5 points against the Miami Heat (17-15) on Monday, December 29, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and ALT2.
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Nuggets vs. Heat Predictions for Monday
Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final tally of Nuggets 121, Heat 120.
- Moneyline Pick: Nuggets (-137)
- Total Pick: Under 244.5 (computer predicts 240.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (+2.5)
Recent Nuggets vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/5/2025 | Nuggets | -9.5 | 241.5 | -407 | +317 | 122-112 DEN |
| 1/17/2025 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 227.5 | -160 | +134 | 133-113 DEN |
| 11/8/2024 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 221.5 | -117 | +112 | 135-122 DEN |
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Denver is 18-13-0 ATS this season.
- The Nuggets are 14-11 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
- Denver's games have gone over the point total in 21 out of 32 opportunities (65.6%).
- This season, the Nuggets have been favored 27 times and won 20, or 74.1%, of those games.
- This season, Denver has won 18 of its 25 games, or 72%, when favored by at least -137 on the moneyline.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami has an 18-13-1 record against the spread this year.
- When they have played as at least 2.5-point underdogs this season, the Heat are 10-4-1 against the spread.
- Miami's games have gone over the point total 15 out of 32 times (46.9%).
- The Heat have put together an 8-9 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 47.1% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +115 or longer, Miami has a record of 7-8 (46.7%).
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Nuggets vs. Heat Injury Report
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Christian Braun: Out (Ankle),
Aaron Gordon: Out (Hamstring),
Cameron Johnson: Out (Knee),
Tamar Bates: Out (Foot)
Heat
Heat:
Bam Adebayo: Probable (Back),
Tyler Herro: Out (Toe)
Nuggets vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, December 29, 2025
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and ALT2
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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