Celtics vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – Jan. 15

The Boston Celtics (24-15) square off against the Miami Heat (21-19) as just 2.5-point favorites on Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS.

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Celtics vs. Heat Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Celtics 117, Heat 116.

  • Moneyline Pick: Celtics (-147)
  • Total Pick: Under 234.5 (computer predicts 232.0 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+2.5)

Recent Celtics vs. Heat Matchups

Celtics vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
12/19/2025 Celtics -6.5 231.5 -287 +231 129-116 BOS
4/2/2025 Celtics -10 212 -526 +391 124-103 MIA
3/14/2025 Celtics -8 211.5 -306 +246 103-91 BOS
2/10/2025 Celtics -7 214.5 -279 +226 103-85 BOS
12/2/2024 Celtics -9.5 218.5 -457 +351 108-89 BOS

Celtics 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Boston's ATS record is 21-18-0 this season.
  • The Celtics are 13-10 against the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in 17 of Boston's 40 games with a set total.
  • This season, the Celtics have been favored 26 times and won 17, or 65.4%, of those games.
  • This season, Boston has won 16 of its 23 games, or 69.6%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • So far this season, Miami has compiled a 23-16-1 record against the spread.
  • The Heat have a 12-6-1 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 2.5 points or more.
  • Miami's games have hit the over 19 out of 40 times (47.5%).
  • The Heat have gone 10-12 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.5% of those games).
  • Miami has a record of 7-10 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +123 or longer (41.2%).

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Celtics vs. Heat Injury Report

Celtics

Celtics:

Jayson Tatum: Out (Achilles),

Josh Minott: Out (Ankle)

Heat

Heat:

Tyler Herro: Probable (Toe),

Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Questionable (Knee),

Nikola Jovic: Probable (Knee),

Davion Mitchell: Day-To-Day (Shoulder)

Celtics vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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