The Tampa Bay Lightning (36-14-4) will attempt to continue a nine-game home win streak when they play the Florida Panthers (29-24-3) on Thursday, Feb. 5 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will come out on top in Thursday's hockey action.
The Panthers have gone 5-5-0 in their last 10 contests, scoring 31 goals while conceding 29 in that period. On 33 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored eight goals (24.2%).
Lightning vs. Panthers Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final result of Lightning 4, Panthers 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-190)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a 36-14-4 record overall, with a 9-4-13 record in games that have needed overtime.
- Tampa Bay is 8-7-2 (18 points) in its 17 games decided by one goal.
- In the five games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they went 2-2-1 (five points).
- Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 12 games this season (4-5-3 record, 11 points).
- The Lightning are 30-5-0 in the 35 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 60 points).
- In the 17 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 11-4-2 to record 24 points.
- In the 30 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 18-9-3 (39 points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 23 games. The Lightning finished 17-5-1 in those matchups (35 points).
Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers (29-24-3 overall) have posted a record of 6-3-9 in contests that have needed OT this season.
- Florida has earned 26 points (12-3-2) in its 17 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- Across the 13 games this season the Panthers finished with just one goal, they have earned five points.
- Florida has six points (2-6-2) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
- The Panthers have scored at least three goals in 32 games, earning 50 points from those contests.
- This season, Florida has recorded a single power-play goal in 20 games has a record of 11-8-1 in those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Florida is 18-16-3 (39 points).
- The Panthers have been outshot by opponents 19 times this season, and earned 22 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Panthers AVG | Panthers Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.5 | Goals Scored | 3.02 | 19th |
| 2nd | 2.54 | Goals Allowed | 3.29 | 25th |
| 16th | 28.1 | Shots | 28.9 | 9th |
| 7th | 26.1 | Shots Allowed | 25.6 | 4th |
| 14th | 21.76% | Power Play % | 19.12% | 20th |
| 4th | 83.93% | Penalty Kill % | 82.74% | 6th |
Lightning vs. Panthers Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
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