Photo: Michael Reaves / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Miami Heat (27-25) are 6.5-point underdogs as they look to continue a three-game road win streak when they take on the Boston Celtics (33-18) on Friday, February 6, 2026 at TD Garden. The matchup airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS.
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Celtics vs. Heat Predictions for Friday
Our computer projections model for this game expects a final score of Celtics 119, Heat 112.
- Moneyline Pick: Celtics (-251)
- Total Pick: Over 226.5 (computer predicts 231.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Celtics (-6.5)
Recent Celtics vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/15/2026 | Celtics | -2.5 | 234.5 | -144 | +122 | 119-114 BOS |
| 12/19/2025 | Celtics | -6.5 | 231.5 | -287 | +231 | 129-116 BOS |
| 4/2/2025 | Celtics | -10 | 212 | -526 | +391 | 124-103 MIA |
| 3/14/2025 | Celtics | -8 | 211.5 | -306 | +246 | 103-91 BOS |
| 2/10/2025 | Celtics | -7 | 214.5 | -279 | +226 | 103-85 BOS |
| 12/2/2024 | Celtics | -9.5 | 218.5 | -457 | +351 | 108-89 BOS |
Celtics 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Boston's ATS record is 29-22-0 this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Celtics have a 14-9 record against the spread.
- In Boston's 52 games with a set total, 19 have hit the over (36.5%).
- The Celtics have been favorites in 36 games this season and won 25 (69.4%) of those contests.
- This season, Boston has won 18 of its 23 games, or 78.3%, when favored by at least -251 on the moneyline.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Miami has put together a 29-22-1 record against the spread.
- In games this year in which they were an underdog by 6.5 points or more, the Heat have a 6-3 record against the spread.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 27 of Miami's 52 games with a set total.
- The Heat have won 44.4% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (12-15).
- Miami has gone 3-5 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +206 or longer (37.5%).
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Celtics vs. Heat Injury Report
Celtics
Celtics:
Jayson Tatum: Out (Achilles)
Heat
Heat:
Tyler Herro: Out (Toe)
Celtics vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, February 6, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Arena: TD Garden
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