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The Memphis Grizzlies (21-33) visit the Miami Heat (30-27) after losing four road games in a row. The Heat are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026.
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Heat vs. Grizzlies Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this contest expects a final tally of Heat 121, Grizzlies 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-581)
- Total Pick: Under 236.5 (computer predicts 234.7 points)
- Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+11.5)
Recent Heat vs. Grizzlies Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/24/2025 | Grizzlies | -2.5 | 231.5 | -148 | +124 | 146-114 MIA |
| 4/3/2025 | Grizzlies | -5.5 | 226.5 | -221 | +182 | 110-108 MEM |
| 3/15/2025 | Grizzlies | -6 | 225.5 | -240 | +196 | 125-91 MEM |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Miami has put together a 33-23-1 record against the spread.
- The Heat are 1-0 against the spread so far when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites.
- The teams have hit the over in 28 of Miami's 54 games with a set total.
- The Heat have won 17, or 60.7%, of the 28 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Miami has played as a favorite of -581 or more once this season and won that game.
Grizzlies 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Memphis has put together a 25-29-0 record against the spread.
- The Grizzlies are 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 11.5 points or more this season.
- In Memphis' 54 games with a set total, 25 have hit the over (46.3%).
- The Grizzlies have won nine of the 36 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (25%).
- Memphis has not yet won a game when entering as a moneyline underdog with odds of +424 or longer in two chances.
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Heat vs. Grizzlies Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Nikola Jovic: Questionable (Back),
Tyler Herro: Probable (Ribs),
Davion Mitchell: Day-To-Day (Head),
Norman Powell: Probable (Head),
Dru Smith: Questionable (Calf)
Grizzlies
Grizzlies:
Ja Morant: Out (Elbow),
Zach Edey: Out (Ankle),
Brandon Clarke: Out (Calf),
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Out For Season (Finger),
Walter Clayton: Day-To-Day (Calf),
Scotty Pippen Jr.: Day-To-Day (Toe),
Ty Jerome: Day-To-Day (Calf),
Santi Aldama: Day-To-Day (Knee),
Cedric Coward: Out (Knee),
Kyle Anderson: Questionable (Knee)
Heat vs. Grizzlies Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN, FDSSE, and WPLG
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
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