Heat vs. Bucks Predictions, Odds & Stats – Feb. 24

Miami Heat v Houston Rockets

Photo: Alex Slitz / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Miami Heat (31-27) visit the Milwaukee Bucks (24-31) after winning three straight road games. The Heat are favored by 6.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 24, 2026.

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Heat vs. Bucks Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final result of Heat 118, Bucks 115.

  • Moneyline Pick: Heat (-250)
  • Total Pick: Over 227.5 (computer predicts 232.1 points)
  • Pick ATS: Bucks (+6.5)

Recent Heat vs. Bucks Matchups

Heat vs Bucks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
11/26/2025 Heat -10.5 237 -481 +367 106-103 MIA
4/5/2025 Heat -1.5 209.5 -116 -103 121-115 MIL
2/23/2025 Bucks -4.5 221 -178 +148 120-113 MIL
1/23/2025 Bucks -6 225.5 -246 +200 125-96 MIL
11/26/2024 Heat -5.5 222.5 -229 +189 106-103 MIL

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Miami's ATS record is 34-23-1 this season.
  • In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Heat have a 9-4 record against the spread.
  • Miami has gone over in 29 of its 55 games with a set total (52.7%).
  • The Heat have entered the game as favorites 29 times this season and won 18, or 62.1%, of those games.
  • Miami has a record of 11-1, a 91.7% win rate, when it's favored by -250 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Bucks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee's ATS record is 25-30-0 this season.
  • In games they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this year, the Bucks are 7-8 against the spread.
  • A total of 22 of Milwaukee's 55 games with a set total have hit the over (40%).
  • The Bucks have a 14-20 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 41.2% of those games).
  • Milwaukee has a record of 3-12 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +204 or longer (20%).

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Heat vs. Bucks Injury Report

Heat

Heat:

Nikola Jovic: Day-To-Day (Back),

Davion Mitchell: Questionable (Head)

Bucks

Bucks:

Taurean Prince: Out (Neck),

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Out (Calf)

Heat vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSWI
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Arena: Fiserv Forum

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