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The Houston Rockets (37-21) are favored (-1.5) to build on a three-game win streak when they visit the Miami Heat (31-29) at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs on Amazon Prime Video and SCHN.
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Rockets vs. Heat Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this encounter expects a final result of Rockets 116, Heat 115.
- Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-136)
- Total Pick: Over 226.5 (computer predicts 230.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (+1.5)
Recent Rockets vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/21/2025 | Rockets | -4.5 | 212.5 | -191 | +159 | 102-98 HOU |
| 12/29/2024 | Rockets | -8.5 | 215.5 | -346 | +274 | 104-100 MIA |
Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Houston has put together a 27-31-0 record against the spread.
- The Rockets have a 21-30 record against the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
- A total of 25 of Houston's 60 games with a set total have hit the over (41.7%).
- The Rockets have won 34, or 65.4%, of the 52 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Houston has a record of 30-17, a 63.8% win rate, when it's favored by -136 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami has gone 34-25-1 ATS this season.
- The Heat have a 17-11-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 1.5 points or more this season.
- Miami's games have gone over the point total 31 out of 60 times (51.7%).
- The Heat have put together a 13-17 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 43.3% of those games).
- When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +115 or longer, Miami has gone 10-16 (38.5%).
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Rockets vs. Heat Injury Report
Rockets
Rockets:
Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),
Steven Adams: Out For Season (Ankle),
Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Knee),
Jabari Smith: Out (Ankle)
Heat
Heat:
Nikola Jovic: Out (Back),
Norman Powell: Out (Groin)
Rockets vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Game time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Amazon Prime Video and SCHN
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
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