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The Miami Heat (33-29) are heavily favored (by 12.5 points) to continue a three-game home win streak when they host the Brooklyn Nets (15-46) on Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET.
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Listen to the game on WFAN Sports Radio New York
Heat vs. Nets Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final score of Heat 122, Nets 107.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-800)
- Total Pick: Over 225.5 (computer predicts 229.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-12.5)
Recent Heat vs. Nets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/3/2026 | Heat | -12.5 | 226.5 | -694 | +499 | 124-98 MIA |
| 12/18/2025 | Heat | -7.5 | 228.5 | -272 | +220 | 106-95 MIA |
| 2/7/2025 | Heat | -5.5 | 210.5 | -221 | +182 | 102-86 BKN |
| 1/25/2025 | Heat | -7 | 211.5 | -275 | +224 | 106-97 MIA |
| 12/23/2024 | Heat | -10 | 210 | -452 | +348 | 110-95 MIA |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami's ATS record is 36-25-1 this season.
- The Heat are 2-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 12.5-point favorites.
- Miami has gone over in 31 of its 61 games with a set total (50.8%).
- The Heat have won 19, or 61.3%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Miami has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -800.
Nets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Brooklyn has compiled a 26-34-1 record against the spread.
- The Nets are 3-10 against the spread when an underdog by 12.5 points or more this season.
- In Brooklyn's 61 games with a set total, 28 have hit the over (45.9%).
- The Nets have put together a 12-45 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 21.1% of those games).
- Brooklyn has gone 1-6 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +553 or longer (14.3%).
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Heat vs. Nets Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Norman Powell: Out (Groin),
Nikola Jovic: Out (Back),
Simone Fontecchio: Out (Groin)
Nets
Nets:
Egor Demin: Out (Injury Management)
Heat vs. Nets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and YES
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
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