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The Miami Heat (35-29) are just 1.5-point underdogs as they try to continue a four-game home win streak when they host the Detroit Pistons (45-17) on Sunday, March 8, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The game airs at 6 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSDET.
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Pistons vs. Heat Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this game predicts a final tally of Pistons 116, Heat 115.
- Moneyline Pick: Pistons (-128)
- Total Pick: Over 229.5 (computer predicts 231.6 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (+1.5)
Recent Pistons vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/1/2026 | Pistons | -4.5 | 236.5 | -190 | +157 | 118-112 MIA |
| 11/29/2025 | Heat | -3.5 | 240.5 | -169 | +142 | 138-135 DET |
| 3/19/2025 | Pistons | -5 | 217.5 | -198 | +164 | 116-113 DET |
| 12/16/2024 | Heat | -4.5 | 219 | -193 | +160 | 125-124 DET |
| 11/12/2024 | Heat | -1.5 | 214.5 | -120 | +100 | 123-121 DET |
| 10/28/2024 | Heat | -8.5 | 219.5 | -357 | +284 | 106-98 MIA |
Pistons 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Detroit has a 32-30-0 record against the spread this season.
- In games this season they were favored by 1.5 points or more, the Pistons have a 22-28 record against the spread.
- A total of 25 of Detroit's 64 games with a set total have hit the over (39.1%).
- The Pistons have won 35, or 70%, of the 50 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season, Detroit has won 34 of its 47 games, or 72.3%, when favored by at least -128 on the moneyline.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami is 38-25-1 against the spread this season.
- In games this season in which they were an underdog by 1.5 points or more, the Heat have a 19-11-1 record against the spread.
- In Miami's 64 games with a set total, 33 have hit the over (51.6%).
- The Heat have won 46.9% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (15-17).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +108 or longer, Miami has gone 12-16 (42.9%).
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Pistons vs. Heat Injury Report
Pistons
Pistons:
Ausar Thompson: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Cade Cunningham: Day-To-Day (Quadricep)
Heat
Heat:
Norman Powell: Out (Groin),
Nikola Jovic: Out (Back),
Andrew Wiggins: Questionable (Toe),
Simone Fontecchio: Out (Groin)
Pistons vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Game time: 6 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSDET
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
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