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The Miami Heat (38-32) will look to end a three-game losing streak when they hit the road to take on the Houston Rockets (42-27) on Saturday, March 21, 2026 at Toyota Center as 3.5-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and SCHN.
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Rockets vs. Heat Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final score of Rockets 118, Heat 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-150)
- Total Pick: Over 227.5 (computer predicts 230.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Rockets (-3.5)
Recent Rockets vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/28/2026 | Rockets | -2 | 226.5 | -136 | +115 | 115-105 MIA |
| 3/21/2025 | Rockets | -4.5 | 212.5 | -191 | +159 | 102-98 HOU |
| 12/29/2024 | Rockets | -8.5 | 215.5 | -346 | +274 | 104-100 MIA |
Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Houston has compiled a 30-39-0 record against the spread.
- When they have played as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Rockets are 19-29 against the spread.
- A total of 29 of Houston's 70 games with a set total have hit the over (41.4%).
- The Rockets have won 39, or 65%, of the 60 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season, Houston has won 33 of its 48 games, or 68.8%, when favored by at least -150 on the moneyline.
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami's ATS record is 41-28-1 this season.
- The Heat have a 14-8-1 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 3.5 points or more.
- A total of 37 of Miami's 70 games with a set total have hit the over (52.9%).
- The Heat have won 16 of the 34 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (47.1%).
- Miami has a record of 9-14 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +125 or longer (39.1%).
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Rockets vs. Heat Injury Report
Rockets
Rockets:
Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),
Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Knee),
Steven Adams: Out For Season (Ankle)
Heat
Heat:
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Out (Hip),
Pelle Larsson: Questionable (Foot),
Simone Fontecchio: Questionable (Back),
Andrew Wiggins: Out (Toe)
Rockets vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and SCHN
- Location: Houston, Texas
- Arena: Toyota Center
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