The Florida Panthers (42-25-3, third in the Eastern Conference) square off against an opponent at the opposite end of the standings, the Pittsburgh Penguins (29-32-10, 14th in the Eastern Conference), on Sunday, March 23 at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Here is our pick for who will clinch the win in Sunday's matchup.

Over the last 10 games, the Penguins have recorded a 5-4-1 record after totaling 34 total goals (five power-play goals on 24 power-play opportunities during that span, for a success rate of 20.8%). Their opponents have scored a combined 29 goals in those games.

Panthers vs. Penguins Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final score of Panthers 4, Penguins 2.

Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-256)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Panthers (-1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

The Panthers are 42-25-3 overall and 7-3-10 in overtime contests.
Florida is 10-4-3 (23 points) in its 17 games decided by one goal.
In the 14 games this season the Panthers registered only one goal, they went 3-11-0 (six points).
Florida has finished 3-5-1 in the nine games this season when it scored two goals (registering seven points).
The Panthers are 36-5-2 in the 43 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 74 points).
In the 31 games when Florida has recorded a lone power-play goal, it picked up 45 points after finishing 21-7-3.
In the 43 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 26-15-2 (54 points).
The Panthers have been outshot by opponents 19 times, and went 10-8-1 (21 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

The Penguins have earned a record of 9-10-19 in overtime games to contribute to an overall mark of 29-32-10.
Pittsburgh has earned 29 points (12-4-5) in its 21 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
This season the Penguins scored only one goal in 11 games and they lost every time.
Pittsburgh has nine points (2-10-5) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
The Penguins have earned 59 points in their 38 games with three or more goals scored.
Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in 27 games this season and has registered 25 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 12-12-5 (29 points).
The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 39 games. The Penguins went 16-18-5 in those matchups (37 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

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